Foundation model · The Forecasting Company · 2026

t0-beta with weather inputs

t0_beta_cov

#7of 40 ranked models
1133Elo rating
30days run live

Error over time

00.51This modelField median2 Oct 20263 Nov 20267 Oct 2026: 0.7238 Oct 2026: 0.6639 Oct 2026: 0.59910 Oct 2026: 0.59611 Oct 2026: 0.66712 Oct 2026: 0.63713 Oct 2026: 0.60914 Oct 2026: 0.54815 Oct 2026: 0.54316 Oct 2026: 0.55617 Oct 2026: 0.54318 Oct 2026: 0.52619 Oct 2026: 0.53920 Oct 2026: 0.52821 Oct 2026: 0.53322 Oct 2026: 0.53123 Oct 2026: 0.53024 Oct 2026: 0.52325 Oct 2026: 0.48626 Oct 2026: 0.50627 Oct 2026: 0.51128 Oct 2026: 0.49429 Oct 2026: 0.47330 Oct 2026: 0.47631 Oct 2026: 0.4671 Nov 2026: 0.4242 Nov 2026: 0.3593 Nov 2026: 0.382

Seven-day running error against repeating last week, where 1 is no better than that.

In the field

Day-ahead priceDay-ahead price: 0.267#6
WindWind: 0.203#14
SolarSolar: 0.387#7
LoadLoad: 0.715#12

Each dot is a ranked model; further left is better. The line marks repeating last week.

Rank by zone

Price
Wind
Solar
Load
BE
#11
#8
#15
#25
NL
#10
#13
#11
#16
FR
#11
#13
#14
#3
DE-LU
#13
#16
#9
#8
DK1
#9
#14
#6
#20
DK2
#11
#10
#4
#26

Bigger is a better place among the ranked models in that series.

What it sees

History
WeatherICON-EU · GFS · IFS
Load forecast
Fuel prices
Calendar