Foundation model · The Forecasting Company · Jun 2026

t0-alpha with weather inputs

t0_alpha_cov

#12of 40 ranked models
1092Elo rating
30days run live

Error over time

00.51This modelField median2 Oct 20263 Nov 20267 Oct 2026: 0.7498 Oct 2026: 0.6979 Oct 2026: 0.63610 Oct 2026: 0.63811 Oct 2026: 0.70812 Oct 2026: 0.68613 Oct 2026: 0.67314 Oct 2026: 0.59915 Oct 2026: 0.58416 Oct 2026: 0.60517 Oct 2026: 0.59018 Oct 2026: 0.55919 Oct 2026: 0.57320 Oct 2026: 0.55421 Oct 2026: 0.55722 Oct 2026: 0.56323 Oct 2026: 0.55424 Oct 2026: 0.54125 Oct 2026: 0.50426 Oct 2026: 0.52327 Oct 2026: 0.54728 Oct 2026: 0.53329 Oct 2026: 0.50930 Oct 2026: 0.50631 Oct 2026: 0.4871 Nov 2026: 0.4542 Nov 2026: 0.3823 Nov 2026: 0.399

Seven-day running error against repeating last week, where 1 is no better than that.

In the field

Day-ahead priceDay-ahead price: 0.328#21
WindWind: 0.179#10
SolarSolar: 0.383#10
LoadLoad: 0.753#25

Each dot is a ranked model; further left is better. The line marks repeating last week.

Rank by zone

Price
Wind
Solar
Load
BE
#19
#10
#12
#30
NL
#20
#12
#13
#22
FR
#18
#5
#12
#24
DE-LU
#17
#6
#5
#21
DK1
#16
#15
#11
#24
DK2
#15
#6
#5
#17

Bigger is a better place among the ranked models in that series.

What it sees

History
WeatherICON-EU · GFS · IFS
Load forecast
Fuel prices
Calendar