Foundation model · The Forecasting Company · Oct 2026

t0-gamma with weather inputs

t0_gamma_cov

#1of 40 ranked models
1209Elo rating
19days run live

Error over time

00.51This modelField median2 Oct 20263 Nov 202618 Oct 2026: 0.56019 Oct 2026: 0.52020 Oct 2026: 0.48221 Oct 2026: 0.47222 Oct 2026: 0.45323 Oct 2026: 0.43824 Oct 2026: 0.43025 Oct 2026: 0.41526 Oct 2026: 0.44827 Oct 2026: 0.46528 Oct 2026: 0.44829 Oct 2026: 0.44130 Oct 2026: 0.44031 Oct 2026: 0.4131 Nov 2026: 0.3872 Nov 2026: 0.3123 Nov 2026: 0.312

Seven-day running error against repeating last week, where 1 is no better than that.

In the field

Day-ahead priceDay-ahead price: 0.227#4
WindWind: 0.167#5
SolarSolar: 0.337#4
LoadLoad: 0.579#2

Each dot is a ranked model; further left is better. The line marks repeating last week.

Rank by zone

Price
Wind
Solar
Load
BE
#5
#4
#3
#4
NL
#4
#7
#10
#3
FR
#5
#8
#3
#2
DE-LU
#8
#14
#11
#6
DK1
#3
#2
#2
#1
DK2
#4
#8
#2
#2

Bigger is a better place among the ranked models in that series.

What it sees

History
WeatherICON-EU · GFS · IFS
Load forecast
Fuel prices
Calendar