Foundation model · Mistral AI · Oct 2026

Timestral with weather inputs

timestral_cov

#2of 40 ranked models
1188Elo rating
19days run live

Error over time

00.51This modelField median2 Oct 20263 Nov 202618 Oct 2026: 0.56719 Oct 2026: 0.53120 Oct 2026: 0.50621 Oct 2026: 0.50622 Oct 2026: 0.48223 Oct 2026: 0.45724 Oct 2026: 0.44325 Oct 2026: 0.44026 Oct 2026: 0.45827 Oct 2026: 0.45928 Oct 2026: 0.43329 Oct 2026: 0.42230 Oct 2026: 0.42531 Oct 2026: 0.4101 Nov 2026: 0.3742 Nov 2026: 0.3163 Nov 2026: 0.333

Seven-day running error against repeating last week, where 1 is no better than that.

In the field

Day-ahead priceDay-ahead price: 0.254#7
WindWind: 0.154#2
SolarSolar: 0.316#1
LoadLoad: 0.603#3

Each dot is a ranked model; further left is better. The line marks repeating last week.

Rank by zone

Price
Wind
Solar
Load
BE
#8
#5
#2
#3
NL
#6
#4
#6
#1
FR
#12
#7
#2
#4
DE-LU
#11
#12
#4
#7
DK1
#7
#3
#3
#9
DK2
#8
#2
#1
#4

Bigger is a better place among the ranked models in that series.

What it sees

History
WeatherICON-EU · GFS · IFS
Load forecast
Fuel prices
Calendar