Foundation model · Google · Aug 2026

TimesFM 3 with weather inputs

timesfm3_cov

#3of 40 ranked models
1186Elo rating
32days run live

Error over time

00.51This modelField median2 Oct 20263 Nov 20265 Oct 2026: 0.3956 Oct 2026: 0.4327 Oct 2026: 0.5178 Oct 2026: 0.4989 Oct 2026: 0.47510 Oct 2026: 0.47611 Oct 2026: 0.54612 Oct 2026: 0.54813 Oct 2026: 0.52914 Oct 2026: 0.49415 Oct 2026: 0.50116 Oct 2026: 0.52217 Oct 2026: 0.53118 Oct 2026: 0.53419 Oct 2026: 0.53920 Oct 2026: 0.52821 Oct 2026: 0.50722 Oct 2026: 0.48923 Oct 2026: 0.46924 Oct 2026: 0.46125 Oct 2026: 0.43026 Oct 2026: 0.44327 Oct 2026: 0.45928 Oct 2026: 0.43929 Oct 2026: 0.43030 Oct 2026: 0.44331 Oct 2026: 0.4211 Nov 2026: 0.3902 Nov 2026: 0.3253 Nov 2026: 0.322

Seven-day running error against repeating last week, where 1 is no better than that.

In the field

Day-ahead priceDay-ahead price: 0.232#3
WindWind: 0.166#4
SolarSolar: 0.338#2
LoadLoad: 0.684#15

Each dot is a ranked model; further left is better. The line marks repeating last week.

Rank by zone

Price
Wind
Solar
Load
BE
#6
#6
#5
#20
NL
#8
#6
#9
#18
FR
#7
#4
#6
#11
DE-LU
#3
#7
#2
#10
DK1
#5
#6
#1
#17
DK2
#5
#4
#6
#15

Bigger is a better place among the ranked models in that series.

What it sees

History
WeatherICON-EU · GFS · IFS
Load forecast
Fuel prices
Calendar