Foundation model · Google · Sep 2025

TimesFM 2.5 with weather inputs

timesfm25_cov

#15of 40 ranked models
1049Elo rating
32days run live

Error over time

00.51This modelField median2 Oct 20263 Nov 20265 Oct 2026: 0.3856 Oct 2026: 0.5837 Oct 2026: 0.8618 Oct 2026: 0.8309 Oct 2026: 0.76610 Oct 2026: 0.80311 Oct 2026: 0.89512 Oct 2026: 0.92513 Oct 2026: 0.85214 Oct 2026: 0.69115 Oct 2026: 0.69316 Oct 2026: 0.74517 Oct 2026: 0.74318 Oct 2026: 0.74819 Oct 2026: 0.76920 Oct 2026: 0.73621 Oct 2026: 0.68722 Oct 2026: 0.66323 Oct 2026: 0.61824 Oct 2026: 0.60325 Oct 2026: 0.54426 Oct 2026: 0.53727 Oct 2026: 0.55728 Oct 2026: 0.55829 Oct 2026: 0.53830 Oct 2026: 0.53631 Oct 2026: 0.5111 Nov 2026: 0.5042 Nov 2026: 0.4213 Nov 2026: 0.447

Seven-day running error against repeating last week, where 1 is no better than that.

In the field

Day-ahead priceDay-ahead price: 0.308#16
WindWind: 0.202#15
SolarSolar: 0.409#13
LoadLoad: 1.018#32

Each dot is a ranked model; further left is better. The line marks repeating last week.

Rank by zone

Price
Wind
Solar
Load
BE
#12
#13
#13
#36
NL
#21
#15
#12
#33
FR
#9
#15
#9
#31
DE-LU
#6
#10
#12
#35
DK1
#30
#11
#10
#29
DK2
#28
#14
#9
#30

Bigger is a better place among the ranked models in that series.

What it sees

History
WeatherICON-EU · GFS · IFS
Load forecast
Fuel prices
Calendar