Foundation model · Google · Sep 2025

TimesFM 2.5

timesfm25

#25of 40 ranked models
957Elo rating
32days run live

Error over time

00.51This modelField median2 Oct 20263 Nov 20265 Oct 2026: 0.8076 Oct 2026: 0.9327 Oct 2026: 0.9608 Oct 2026: 0.9029 Oct 2026: 0.84710 Oct 2026: 0.86411 Oct 2026: 1.00712 Oct 2026: 0.96813 Oct 2026: 0.90314 Oct 2026: 0.85415 Oct 2026: 0.87716 Oct 2026: 0.95817 Oct 2026: 0.93518 Oct 2026: 0.88019 Oct 2026: 0.91820 Oct 2026: 0.88121 Oct 2026: 0.91422 Oct 2026: 0.90023 Oct 2026: 0.83424 Oct 2026: 0.78725 Oct 2026: 0.70426 Oct 2026: 0.72827 Oct 2026: 0.84528 Oct 2026: 0.82029 Oct 2026: 0.79130 Oct 2026: 0.78531 Oct 2026: 0.7791 Nov 2026: 0.7562 Nov 2026: 0.6233 Nov 2026: 0.502

Seven-day running error against repeating last week, where 1 is no better than that.

In the field

Day-ahead priceDay-ahead price: 0.363#25
WindWind: 0.564#21
SolarSolar: 0.806#22
LoadLoad: 0.781#20

Each dot is a ranked model; further left is better. The line marks repeating last week.

Rank by zone

Price
Wind
Solar
Load
BE
#24
#28
#25
#21
NL
#27
#25
#30
#28
FR
#28
#26
#24
#22
DE-LU
#24
#26
#19
#18
DK1
#21
#26
#24
#22
DK2
#16
#29
#20
#28

Bigger is a better place among the ranked models in that series.

What it sees

History
WeatherICON-EU · GFS · IFS
Load forecast
Fuel prices
Calendar