Foundation model · Amazon

Chronos-Bolt

chronos_bolt

#26of 40 ranked models
947Elo rating
32days run live

Error over time

00.51This modelField median2 Oct 20263 Nov 20265 Oct 2026: 0.9376 Oct 2026: 1.0707 Oct 2026: 1.1168 Oct 2026: 1.0329 Oct 2026: 0.98510 Oct 2026: 0.94211 Oct 2026: 1.09612 Oct 2026: 1.09513 Oct 2026: 1.03214 Oct 2026: 0.94215 Oct 2026: 0.96516 Oct 2026: 1.00217 Oct 2026: 0.96918 Oct 2026: 0.84719 Oct 2026: 0.86020 Oct 2026: 0.80021 Oct 2026: 0.84622 Oct 2026: 0.83223 Oct 2026: 0.80324 Oct 2026: 0.76225 Oct 2026: 0.78126 Oct 2026: 0.79827 Oct 2026: 0.89128 Oct 2026: 0.84529 Oct 2026: 0.82330 Oct 2026: 0.78231 Oct 2026: 0.7691 Nov 2026: 0.7132 Nov 2026: 0.5853 Nov 2026: 0.477

Seven-day running error against repeating last week, where 1 is no better than that.

In the field

Day-ahead priceDay-ahead price: 0.362#23
WindWind: 0.584#27
SolarSolar: 0.900#33
LoadLoad: 0.681#21

Each dot is a ranked model; further left is better. The line marks repeating last week.

Rank by zone

Price
Wind
Solar
Load
BE
#26
#21
#28
#14
NL
#25
#33
#31
#20
FR
#25
#28
#33
#20
DE-LU
#23
#29
#36
#22
DK1
#20
#34
#30
#4
DK2
#18
#36
#24
#14

Bigger is a better place among the ranked models in that series.

What it sees

History
WeatherICON-EU · GFS · IFS
Load forecast
Fuel prices
Calendar