Foundation model · Amazon · Oct 2025

Chronos-2

chronos2

#21of 40 ranked models
976Elo rating
33days run live

Error over time

00.51This modelField median2 Oct 20263 Nov 20264 Oct 2026: 0.9885 Oct 2026: 0.9416 Oct 2026: 1.0477 Oct 2026: 1.0928 Oct 2026: 1.0219 Oct 2026: 0.97310 Oct 2026: 0.91811 Oct 2026: 1.06912 Oct 2026: 1.07013 Oct 2026: 1.03114 Oct 2026: 0.93115 Oct 2026: 0.95716 Oct 2026: 1.01017 Oct 2026: 0.97118 Oct 2026: 0.86919 Oct 2026: 0.88020 Oct 2026: 0.78721 Oct 2026: 0.83622 Oct 2026: 0.82123 Oct 2026: 0.76924 Oct 2026: 0.72125 Oct 2026: 0.72826 Oct 2026: 0.74627 Oct 2026: 0.85628 Oct 2026: 0.80829 Oct 2026: 0.78030 Oct 2026: 0.76231 Oct 2026: 0.7541 Nov 2026: 0.7042 Nov 2026: 0.5753 Nov 2026: 0.461

Seven-day running error against repeating last week, where 1 is no better than that.

In the field

Day-ahead priceDay-ahead price: 0.354#18
WindWind: 0.576#28
SolarSolar: 0.863#24
LoadLoad: 0.643#6

Each dot is a ranked model; further left is better. The line marks repeating last week.

Rank by zone

Price
Wind
Solar
Load
BE
#23
#29
#31
#13
NL
#24
#26
#37
#15
FR
#22
#29
#26
#10
DE-LU
#18
#30
#24
#14
DK1
#22
#32
#22
#5
DK2
#19
#27
#30
#7

Bigger is a better place among the ranked models in that series.

What it sees

History
WeatherICON-EU · GFS · IFS
Load forecast
Fuel prices
Calendar