Foundation model · The Forecasting Company · Oct 2026

t0-gamma

t0_gamma

#20of 40 ranked models
991Elo rating
19days run live

Error over time

00.51This modelField median2 Oct 20263 Nov 202618 Oct 2026: 0.88419 Oct 2026: 0.88520 Oct 2026: 0.82221 Oct 2026: 0.81822 Oct 2026: 0.80823 Oct 2026: 0.78324 Oct 2026: 0.73225 Oct 2026: 0.72726 Oct 2026: 0.75927 Oct 2026: 0.84928 Oct 2026: 0.82429 Oct 2026: 0.77930 Oct 2026: 0.76631 Oct 2026: 0.7741 Nov 2026: 0.7192 Nov 2026: 0.5753 Nov 2026: 0.472

Seven-day running error against repeating last week, where 1 is no better than that.

In the field

Day-ahead priceDay-ahead price: 0.326#15
WindWind: 0.546#18
SolarSolar: 0.744#21
LoadLoad: 0.639#14

Each dot is a ranked model; further left is better. The line marks repeating last week.

Rank by zone

Price
Wind
Solar
Load
BE
#15
#23
#21
#12
NL
#15
#21
#20
#14
FR
#19
#23
#18
#14
DE-LU
#20
#24
#28
#20
DK1
#19
#33
#17
#3
DK2
#17
#23
#25
#3

Bigger is a better place among the ranked models in that series.

What it sees

History
WeatherICON-EU · GFS · IFS
Load forecast
Fuel prices
Calendar