Foundation model · The Forecasting Company · 2026

t0-beta

t0_beta

#31of 40 ranked models
920Elo rating
30days run live

Error over time

00.51This modelField median2 Oct 20263 Nov 20267 Oct 2026: 1.2958 Oct 2026: 1.1289 Oct 2026: 1.01810 Oct 2026: 0.99711 Oct 2026: 1.08612 Oct 2026: 1.02113 Oct 2026: 0.95114 Oct 2026: 0.85415 Oct 2026: 0.87916 Oct 2026: 0.92517 Oct 2026: 0.91218 Oct 2026: 0.86819 Oct 2026: 0.90720 Oct 2026: 0.85821 Oct 2026: 0.90922 Oct 2026: 0.89323 Oct 2026: 0.86824 Oct 2026: 0.82425 Oct 2026: 0.76926 Oct 2026: 0.76427 Oct 2026: 0.86828 Oct 2026: 0.82729 Oct 2026: 0.78930 Oct 2026: 0.77131 Oct 2026: 0.7861 Nov 2026: 0.7492 Nov 2026: 0.6373 Nov 2026: 0.545

Seven-day running error against repeating last week, where 1 is no better than that.

In the field

Day-ahead priceDay-ahead price: 0.395#32
WindWind: 0.562#25
SolarSolar: 0.888#34
LoadLoad: 0.713#16

Each dot is a ranked model; further left is better. The line marks repeating last week.

Rank by zone

Price
Wind
Solar
Load
BE
#29
#34
#36
#17
NL
#30
#27
#29
#7
FR
#32
#27
#23
#19
DE-LU
#32
#21
#35
#9
DK1
#31
#27
#34
#15
DK2
#29
#21
#23
#25

Bigger is a better place among the ranked models in that series.

What it sees

History
WeatherICON-EU · GFS · IFS
Load forecast
Fuel prices
Calendar