Foundation model · Salesforce · Nov 2025

Moirai 2

moirai2

#30of 40 ranked models
923Elo rating
32days run live

Error over time

00.51This modelField median2 Oct 20263 Nov 20265 Oct 2026: 0.7896 Oct 2026: 0.9507 Oct 2026: 0.9698 Oct 2026: 0.9089 Oct 2026: 0.89310 Oct 2026: 0.92311 Oct 2026: 1.06812 Oct 2026: 1.05513 Oct 2026: 1.00814 Oct 2026: 0.94915 Oct 2026: 0.99116 Oct 2026: 1.00617 Oct 2026: 0.98318 Oct 2026: 0.93819 Oct 2026: 0.97520 Oct 2026: 0.90121 Oct 2026: 0.94922 Oct 2026: 0.90823 Oct 2026: 0.87524 Oct 2026: 0.79625 Oct 2026: 0.77326 Oct 2026: 0.77327 Oct 2026: 0.89928 Oct 2026: 0.85229 Oct 2026: 0.82830 Oct 2026: 0.81931 Oct 2026: 0.8511 Nov 2026: 0.7852 Nov 2026: 0.6583 Nov 2026: 0.526

Seven-day running error against repeating last week, where 1 is no better than that.

In the field

Day-ahead priceDay-ahead price: 0.386#28
WindWind: 0.562#26
SolarSolar: 0.899#29
LoadLoad: 0.793#26

Each dot is a ranked model; further left is better. The line marks repeating last week.

Rank by zone

Price
Wind
Solar
Load
BE
#30
#26
#32
#23
NL
#32
#35
#36
#25
FR
#29
#21
#31
#26
DE-LU
#27
#25
#32
#30
DK1
#28
#36
#29
#26
DK2
#27
#19
#29
#23

Bigger is a better place among the ranked models in that series.

What it sees

History
WeatherICON-EU · GFS · IFS
Load forecast
Fuel prices
Calendar