Foundation model · The Forecasting Company · Jun 2026

t0-alpha

t0_alpha

#32of 40 ranked models
915Elo rating
30days run live

Error over time

00.51This modelField median2 Oct 20263 Nov 20267 Oct 2026: 1.0848 Oct 2026: 0.9879 Oct 2026: 0.90610 Oct 2026: 0.89811 Oct 2026: 1.00412 Oct 2026: 0.99313 Oct 2026: 0.94614 Oct 2026: 0.91115 Oct 2026: 0.91216 Oct 2026: 0.96717 Oct 2026: 0.97218 Oct 2026: 0.89719 Oct 2026: 0.92920 Oct 2026: 0.84021 Oct 2026: 0.88122 Oct 2026: 0.88523 Oct 2026: 0.84124 Oct 2026: 0.78125 Oct 2026: 0.77126 Oct 2026: 0.79327 Oct 2026: 0.87628 Oct 2026: 0.83729 Oct 2026: 0.80130 Oct 2026: 0.79731 Oct 2026: 0.8071 Nov 2026: 0.7502 Nov 2026: 0.6143 Nov 2026: 0.532

Seven-day running error against repeating last week, where 1 is no better than that.

In the field

Day-ahead priceDay-ahead price: 0.385#29
WindWind: 0.581#34
SolarSolar: 0.851#28
LoadLoad: 0.713#23

Each dot is a ranked model; further left is better. The line marks repeating last week.

Rank by zone

Price
Wind
Solar
Load
BE
#28
#32
#27
#24
NL
#28
#29
#34
#19
FR
#27
#34
#30
#28
DE-LU
#30
#23
#26
#26
DK1
#29
#35
#23
#6
DK2
#26
#24
#19
#8

Bigger is a better place among the ranked models in that series.

What it sees

History
WeatherICON-EU · GFS · IFS
Load forecast
Fuel prices
Calendar