Foundation model · Tsinghua University

Sundial

sundial

#33of 40 ranked models
902Elo rating
32days run live

Error over time

00.51This modelField median2 Oct 20263 Nov 20265 Oct 2026: 0.8556 Oct 2026: 1.0217 Oct 2026: 1.0078 Oct 2026: 0.9719 Oct 2026: 0.92810 Oct 2026: 0.91711 Oct 2026: 1.09512 Oct 2026: 1.06313 Oct 2026: 0.97814 Oct 2026: 0.94215 Oct 2026: 0.96216 Oct 2026: 0.99217 Oct 2026: 0.96518 Oct 2026: 0.87819 Oct 2026: 0.92220 Oct 2026: 0.87821 Oct 2026: 0.91522 Oct 2026: 0.88823 Oct 2026: 0.88824 Oct 2026: 0.85525 Oct 2026: 0.80626 Oct 2026: 0.81527 Oct 2026: 0.89128 Oct 2026: 0.84529 Oct 2026: 0.80130 Oct 2026: 0.78431 Oct 2026: 0.7901 Nov 2026: 0.7632 Nov 2026: 0.6353 Nov 2026: 0.558

Seven-day running error against repeating last week, where 1 is no better than that.

In the field

Day-ahead priceDay-ahead price: 0.404#31
WindWind: 0.592#35
SolarSolar: 0.934#36
LoadLoad: 0.743#22

Each dot is a ranked model; further left is better. The line marks repeating last week.

Rank by zone

Price
Wind
Solar
Load
BE
#32
#35
#38
#22
NL
#31
#32
#35
#17
FR
#33
#33
#34
#25
DE-LU
#31
#33
#25
#25
DK1
#32
#20
#35
#16
DK2
#32
#32
#37
#22

Bigger is a better place among the ranked models in that series.

What it sees

History
WeatherICON-EU · GFS · IFS
Load forecast
Fuel prices
Calendar