Gradient boosting · Foretec

LightGBM on lags

lgbm_lags

#34of 40 ranked models

884Elo rating

33days run live

Error over time

Seven-day running error against repeating last week, where 1 is no better than that.

In the field

Day-ahead price#37

Wind#33

Solar#32

Load#27

Each dot is a ranked model; further left is better. The line marks repeating last week.

Rank by zone

Price

Wind

Solar

Load

#37

#33

#35

#33

#35

#38

#32

#31

#36

#30

#38

#32

DE-LU

#36

#28

#22

#17

DK1

#36

#17

#33

#28

DK2

#36

#25

#22

#16

Bigger is a better place among the ranked models in that series.

What it sees

History

WeatherICON-EU · GFS · IFS

Load forecast

Fuel prices

Calendar