Gradient boosting · Foretec
LightGBM with weather
lgbm_cov
#14of 40 ranked models
1071Elo rating
32days run live
Error over time
Seven-day running error against repeating last week, where 1 is no better than that.
In the field
Day-ahead price#17
Wind#6
Solar#6
Load#33
Each dot is a ranked model; further left is better. The line marks repeating last week.
Rank by zone
Price
Wind
Solar
Load
BE
#20
#7
#6
#34
NL
#18
#3
#2
#34
FR
#13
#6
#7
#37
DE-LU
#16
#5
#7
#28
DK1
#13
#4
#13
#32
DK2
#12
#5
#8
#36
Bigger is a better place among the ranked models in that series.
What it sees
History
WeatherICON-EU · GFS · IFS
Load forecast
Fuel prices
Calendar