Grid operator forecast · Grid operators

Grid operators' forecast at the cut-off

TSO_cutoff

#6of 40 ranked models
1145Elo rating
28days run live

Error over time

00.51This modelField median2 Oct 20263 Nov 20267 Oct 2026: 0.7248 Oct 2026: 0.6279 Oct 2026: 0.59310 Oct 2026: 0.55611 Oct 2026: 0.63612 Oct 2026: 0.62613 Oct 2026: 0.58614 Oct 2026: 0.61815 Oct 2026: 0.65616 Oct 2026: 0.69817 Oct 2026: 0.71318 Oct 2026: 0.64719 Oct 2026: 0.66720 Oct 2026: 0.64921 Oct 2026: 0.61022 Oct 2026: 0.59623 Oct 2026: 0.55324 Oct 2026: 0.57225 Oct 2026: 0.56326 Oct 2026: 0.60327 Oct 2026: 0.60228 Oct 2026: 0.59129 Oct 2026: 0.59130 Oct 2026: 0.58131 Oct 2026: 0.5571 Nov 2026: 0.5582 Nov 2026: 0.5093 Nov 2026: 0.509

Seven-day running error against repeating last week, where 1 is no better than that.

In the field

WindWind: 0.151#1
SolarSolar: 0.357#3
LoadLoad: 0.721#18

Each dot is a ranked model; further left is better. The line marks repeating last week.

Rank by zone

Wind
Solar
Load
BE
#2
#4
#19
NL
#5
#3
#10
FR
–
–
#1
DE-LU
–
–
#23
DK1
–
–
#30
DK2
–
–
#27

Bigger is a better place among the ranked models in that series.