Foundation model · IBM · 2024

TinyTimeMixer

ttm_r2

#37of 40 ranked models
830Elo rating
32days run live

Error over time

00.51This modelField median2 Oct 20263 Nov 20265 Oct 2026: 0.8816 Oct 2026: 1.0367 Oct 2026: 1.1158 Oct 2026: 1.0469 Oct 2026: 1.01510 Oct 2026: 1.06011 Oct 2026: 1.30112 Oct 2026: 1.27913 Oct 2026: 1.23414 Oct 2026: 1.13715 Oct 2026: 1.15816 Oct 2026: 1.18217 Oct 2026: 1.13218 Oct 2026: 1.04019 Oct 2026: 1.10020 Oct 2026: 1.02021 Oct 2026: 1.04422 Oct 2026: 1.02823 Oct 2026: 1.00524 Oct 2026: 0.97125 Oct 2026: 0.89426 Oct 2026: 0.87127 Oct 2026: 0.99228 Oct 2026: 0.97229 Oct 2026: 0.94330 Oct 2026: 0.95631 Oct 2026: 0.9641 Nov 2026: 0.9272 Nov 2026: 0.8063 Nov 2026: 0.681

Seven-day running error against repeating last week, where 1 is no better than that.

In the field

Day-ahead priceDay-ahead price: 0.433#36
WindWind: 0.539#19
SolarSolar: 0.922#40
LoadLoad: 1.194#34

Each dot is a ranked model; further left is better. The line marks repeating last week.

Rank by zone

Price
Wind
Solar
Load
BE
#34
#25
#33
#35
NL
#34
#23
#33
#35
FR
#34
#25
#35
#35
DE-LU
#33
#19
#27
#38
DK1
#33
#21
#32
#23
DK2
#33
#22
#33
#34

Bigger is a better place among the ranked models in that series.

What it sees

History
WeatherICON-EU · GFS · IFS
Load forecast
Fuel prices
Calendar