Baseline · Foretec

Climatology

climatology

#40of 40 ranked models
745Elo rating
32days run live

Error over time

00.51This modelField median2 Oct 20263 Nov 20265 Oct 2026: 2.3936 Oct 2026: 2.2757 Oct 2026: 2.1668 Oct 2026: 1.9159 Oct 2026: 1.80710 Oct 2026: 1.72211 Oct 2026: 1.84912 Oct 2026: 1.70613 Oct 2026: 1.72514 Oct 2026: 1.71515 Oct 2026: 1.76716 Oct 2026: 1.79117 Oct 2026: 1.74618 Oct 2026: 1.73619 Oct 2026: 1.77220 Oct 2026: 1.68321 Oct 2026: 1.66322 Oct 2026: 1.66223 Oct 2026: 1.60624 Oct 2026: 1.52225 Oct 2026: 1.26926 Oct 2026: 1.23727 Oct 2026: 1.29228 Oct 2026: 1.29829 Oct 2026: 1.30330 Oct 2026: 1.31531 Oct 2026: 1.3401 Nov 2026: 1.3022 Nov 2026: 1.3053 Nov 2026: 1.955

Seven-day running error against repeating last week, where 1 is no better than that.

In the field

Day-ahead priceDay-ahead price: 1.231#39
WindWind: 0.639#37
SolarSolar: 0.891#30
LoadLoad: 1.776#38

Each dot is a ranked model; further left is better. The line marks repeating last week.

Rank by zone

Price
Wind
Solar
Load
BE
#39
#38
#29
#39
NL
#39
#37
#21
#40
FR
#39
#36
#39
#40
DE-LU
#39
#37
#17
#39
DK1
#39
#18
#25
#36
DK2
#39
#33
#34
#37

Bigger is a better place among the ranked models in that series.

What it sees

History
WeatherICON-EU · GFS · IFS
Load forecast
Fuel prices
Calendar