Linear regression · Foretec

Linear regression with weather (2 years)

lin_cov_2y

#18of 40 ranked models
1003Elo rating
21days run live

Error over time

00.51This modelField median2 Oct 20263 Nov 202616 Oct 2026: 0.92917 Oct 2026: 0.91518 Oct 2026: 0.96819 Oct 2026: 0.92320 Oct 2026: 0.86321 Oct 2026: 0.80822 Oct 2026: 0.73123 Oct 2026: 0.72224 Oct 2026: 0.69925 Oct 2026: 0.64326 Oct 2026: 0.65627 Oct 2026: 0.68928 Oct 2026: 0.67929 Oct 2026: 0.67130 Oct 2026: 0.66831 Oct 2026: 0.6471 Nov 2026: 0.6262 Nov 2026: 0.5343 Nov 2026: 0.532

Seven-day running error against repeating last week, where 1 is no better than that.

In the field

Day-ahead priceDay-ahead price: 0.283#20
WindWind: 0.187#11
SolarSolar: 0.455#15
LoadLoad: 1.368#36

Each dot is a ranked model; further left is better. The line marks repeating last week.

Rank by zone

Price
Wind
Solar
Load
BE
#17
#12
#14
#37
NL
#16
#9
#4
#37
FR
#15
#9
#17
#34
DE-LU
#9
#11
#13
#37
DK1
#6
#5
#12
#38
DK2
#9
#13
#12
#29

Bigger is a better place among the ranked models in that series.

What it sees

History
WeatherICON-EU · GFS · IFS
Load forecast
Fuel prices
Calendar