Linear regression · Foretec

Linear regression with weather

lin_cov

#28of 40 ranked models
935Elo rating
21days run live

Error over time

00.51This modelField median2 Oct 20263 Nov 202616 Oct 2026: 0.94317 Oct 2026: 0.94818 Oct 2026: 0.99219 Oct 2026: 0.97020 Oct 2026: 0.90921 Oct 2026: 0.81822 Oct 2026: 0.79823 Oct 2026: 0.79024 Oct 2026: 0.76925 Oct 2026: 0.74626 Oct 2026: 0.76327 Oct 2026: 0.77428 Oct 2026: 0.78529 Oct 2026: 0.79830 Oct 2026: 0.81631 Oct 2026: 0.7951 Nov 2026: 0.7452 Nov 2026: 0.6343 Nov 2026: 0.666

Seven-day running error against repeating last week, where 1 is no better than that.

In the field

Day-ahead priceDay-ahead price: 0.360#30
WindWind: 0.206#16
SolarSolar: 0.571#17
LoadLoad: 1.312#37

Each dot is a ranked model; further left is better. The line marks repeating last week.

Rank by zone

Price
Wind
Solar
Load
BE
#25
#16
#17
#38
NL
#23
#11
#15
#38
FR
#20
#16
#15
#38
DE-LU
#29
#15
#14
#36
DK1
#27
#8
#15
#35
DK2
#24
#15
#15
#32

Bigger is a better place among the ranked models in that series.

What it sees

History
WeatherICON-EU · GFS · IFS
Load forecast
Fuel prices
Calendar