Name: EnergyBench: live day-ahead electricity forecasting benchmark
Creator: Foretec
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Zone

Target

Rated over

Standings

Every morning, dozens of forecasting models commit to tomorrow's electricity prices, demand, wind and solar power across six European zones, before the 12:00 market deadline. Once the real numbers are in, we score them against each other and the grid operators' own forecasts.

Cut-off 11:30 · gate 12:00 CET/CEST · updated – · data ENTSO-E · Methodology

#	Model	Elo	Rel. MAE	N evaluations
1	timeh2o_cov	1204	0.363	228
2	t0_gamma_cov	1199	0.351	530
3	timesfm3_cov	1177	0.371	667
4	chronos2_cov	1173	0.375	667
5	timestral_cov	1173	0.355	530
6	TSO_cutoff	1143	0.524	261
7	t0_beta_cov	1122	0.410	653
8	lgbm_prod	1120	0.394	530
9	tabby_cov	1120	0.385	530
10	tabby_pretrain_cov	1114	0.390	530
11	tirex2_cov	1094	0.412	628
12	t0_alpha_cov	1086	0.425	653
13	timeh2o	1068	0.495	252
14	lgbm_cov	1067	0.480	667
15	timesfm25_cov	1045	0.485	667
16	timestral	1017	0.555	530
17	toto2_1b	1006	0.575	324
18	t0_gamma	992	0.577	530
19	toto2	989	0.587	324
20	lin_cov_2y	988	0.559	566
21	chronos2	980	0.620	674
22	tabby	974	0.607	530
23	tabby_pretrain	967	0.593	530
24	timesfm3	965	0.636	667
25	timesfm25	961	0.633	667
26	chronos_bolt	952	0.644	667
27	tirex2	945	0.628	628
28	lin_cov	941	0.590	566
29	moirai2	931	0.660	667
30	tirex	929	0.647	667
31	t0_beta	926	0.651	653
32	t0_alpha	920	0.649	653
33	sundial	903	0.678	667
34	lgbm_lags	898	0.713	674
35	lin_lags	886	0.695	566
36	toto	848	0.824	415
37	ttm_r2	836	0.760	667
38	naive_daily	824	0.957	674
39	naive_weekly	774	1.000	674
40	climatology	740	1.186	667

EnergyBench by Foretec

Standings

Performance over time

Elo score over time

Rank stability

Run tracker