Name: EnergyBench: live day-ahead electricity forecasting benchmark
Creator: Foretec
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Zone

Target

Rated over

Standings

Every morning, dozens of forecasting models commit to tomorrow's electricity prices, demand, wind and solar power across six European zones, before the 12:00 market deadline. Once the real numbers are in, we score them against each other and the grid operators' own forecasts.

Cut-off 11:30 · gate 12:00 CET/CEST · updated – · data ENTSO-E · Methodology

#	Model	Elo	Rel. MAE	N evaluations
1	timeh2o_cov	1207	0.378	270
2	t0_gamma_cov	1197	0.359	572
3	chronos2_cov	1178	0.379	709
4	timesfm3_cov	1177	0.377	709
5	timestral_cov	1173	0.363	572
6	TSO_cutoff	1140	0.531	280
7	t0_beta_cov	1123	0.417	695
8	lgbm_prod	1122	0.399	572
9	tabby_cov	1119	0.395	572
10	tabby_pretrain_cov	1112	0.401	572
11	tirex2_cov	1092	0.424	670
12	t0_alpha_cov	1085	0.433	695
13	lgbm_cov	1065	0.489	709
14	timeh2o	1060	0.520	294
15	timesfm25_cov	1047	0.491	709
16	timestral	1015	0.567	572
17	toto2_1b	996	0.603	366
18	t0_gamma	992	0.586	572
19	lin_cov_2y	989	0.562	608
20	toto2	982	0.606	366
21	chronos2	982	0.628	716
22	tabby	973	0.619	572
23	tabby_pretrain	968	0.604	572
24	timesfm3	967	0.642	709
25	timesfm25	957	0.644	709
26	chronos_bolt	951	0.654	709
27	tirex2	947	0.636	670
28	lin_cov	942	0.599	608
29	tirex	934	0.654	709
30	moirai2	933	0.668	709
31	t0_beta	931	0.655	695
32	t0_alpha	921	0.658	695
33	sundial	909	0.685	709
34	lgbm_lags	899	0.722	716
35	lin_lags	888	0.704	608
36	toto	849	0.824	415
37	ttm_r2	840	0.769	709
38	naive_daily	824	0.968	716
39	naive_weekly	778	1.000	716
40	climatology	738	1.207	709

EnergyBench by Foretec

Standings

Performance over time

Elo score over time

Rank stability

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